Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
GAL
4 - 3
ALI
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
ALI
2 - 0
SBO
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 3
SAM
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 2
ALI
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2008 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
53%
26%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 1
UNI
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 0
CIE
38%
30%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 2
AUR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
AUR
4 - 1
SPO
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 0
AUR
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |