Alianza Lima vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAR
37%
30%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 2
AUR
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
GAL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 1
HUA
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 5
GAL
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GAL
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |