Alianza Lima vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
UTC
0 - 0
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
ALI
5 - 1
BIN
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 1
ALI
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
COM
0 - 1
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 0
HUA
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
CRZ
4 - 1
GRE
41%
27%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 1
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 2
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 0
LQE
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAH
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |