Alianza Lima vs Carlos Stein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
ALI
22%
27%
52%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 4
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
ALI
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
UTC
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
UTC
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
HUA
2 - 1
FCS
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
FCS
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
SPC
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
FCS
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |