Alianza Lima vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
0 - 3
ATP
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1998 |
RIV
2 - 0
ALI
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
EST
0 - 1
EME
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
EME
1 - 3
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
BLO
2 - 0
EME
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
JWI
4 - 2
EME
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |