Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
AYA
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
61%
21%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 0
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 0
HUA
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 2
MEL
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
GAR
1 - 1
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
SPC
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BIN
1 - 3
MUN
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |