Alianza Lima vs Cobresol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
ALI
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CIE
3 - 2
ALI
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
AYA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
COB
0 - 2
HUA
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
COB
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
COB
0 - 2
VAL
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
COB
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
COB
1 - 1
GAR
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |