Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 2
EQU
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
26%
22%
52%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CIE
1 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
SPC
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SCJ
1 - 2
AGP
37%
22%
42%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
4 - 1
AGP
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AGP
2 - 0
FCS
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SRP
3 - 1
AGP
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
AGP
0 - 0
LLA
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |