Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
COM
2 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
60%
25%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 1
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 0
HUA
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 1
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
26%
29%
46%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CIE
2 - 0
ALI
55%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 3
AYA
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |