Alianza FC vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 3
SMI
40%
27%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
CHE
29%
28%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 2
COL
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
AMA
26%
28%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
COL
70%
21%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
ARA
26%
29%
45%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |