Alianza II vs UMECIT II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
ARA
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UDP
2 - 1
AFC
76%
16%
7%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 2
SSM
8%
18%
74%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
CIE
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
AFC
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 0
UME
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
UME
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UME
2 - 1
PCF
25%
25%
51%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UME
2 - 2
SMA
44%
21%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 1
UME
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |