Alianza II vs UMECIT II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
SSM
1 - 1
AFC
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 2
AFC
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
SMA
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
PCF
0 - 0
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
CDE
3 - 0
AFC
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PCF
1 - 1
UME
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
CHA
19%
24%
57%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SSM
2 - 1
UME
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
CIE
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
UME
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |