Alianza II vs Sporting San Miguelito II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
57.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 0
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
PCF
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 2
AFC
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 0
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 1
ARA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 2
SSM
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SSM
7 - 0
UME
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 1
SSM
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 2
SSM
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |