Alianza II vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
7º
7º
7
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 0
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
AFC
69%
18%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
UME
85%
10%
5%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
SSM
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
AFC
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
PCF
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 2
CDE
25%
19%
56%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
COL
67%
18%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
CDP
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 1
COL
76%
15%
8%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |