Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
SBO
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
MEL
3 - 1
ALI
44%
25%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
ALI
0 - 3
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 3
SAM
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
SBO
1 - 2
UNI
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
UNI
3 - 3
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 1
UNI
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOL
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |