Alhaurín de la Torre vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LIN
5 - 0
ALH
76%
16%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALH
3 - 1
MAL
16%
23%
61%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +4 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AME
0 - 1
ALH
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALH
0 - 1
CDE
40%
22%
37%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
ALH
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 2
VEL
35%
27%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
33%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOL
53%
25%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
VIL
59%
24%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |