Algorfa vs Peñaraval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 1
ALG
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPD
0 - 5
ALG
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 0
ELD
39%
22%
38%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAF
3 - 3
ALG
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 1
MON
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñaraval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PRV
2 - 1
ELD
12%
17%
72%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PRV
0 - 1
UDF
15%
17%
68%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
PRV
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 2
PRV
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PRV
2 - 0
SPD
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |