Algorfa vs H. Nieves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 3
ALG
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
ALI
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ASP
1 - 2
ALG
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 4
RAF
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALG
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
HON
1 - 1
TOR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RED
1 - 2
HON
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
HON
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HON
0 - 2
ALI
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ASP
0 - 3
HON
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +2 |