Algorfa vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+97%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
ALG
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 2
MON
48%
23%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 3
CDC
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 3
ALG
8%
15%
77%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 1
ASP
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDF
4 - 5
RAF
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 1
PRV
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 0
RAF
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -3 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 1
SPD
67%
19%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |