Algorfa vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TOR
5 - 1
ALG
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ALG
4 - 0
UDL
78%
13%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 2
ALG
51%
23%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 1
SPD
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 2
ALG
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
RAF
4 - 4
RAV
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ELD
3 - 1
RAF
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 2
CDC
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
RAF
50%
23%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 0
RAF
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |