Algorfa vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CFP
0 - 5
ALG
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALG
1 - 0
RAC
46%
23%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALG
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ALG
4 - 1
PIN
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 3
ALG
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RAF
5 - 0
CFP
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RAC
2 - 1
RAF
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 1
BEN
63%
19%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 2
RAF
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 2
ATL
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |