Algorfa vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 0
ATL
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BIG
3 - 1
ALG
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BAH
6 - 1
ALG
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
9 - 0
COC
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
ALG
24%
22%
55%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 1
BIG
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ATH
0 - 4
RAF
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 4
ALM
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
PET
1 - 2
RAF
46%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RAF
4 - 1
HON
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |