Algorfa vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+321%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALG
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 1
ALB
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 1
ALG
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 1
UNI
31%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RAF
3 - 3
TOR
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
RAF
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 0
SPO
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
RAF
19%
21%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |