Alginet vs Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 2
ALG
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 2
ALG
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 3
CDG
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
XIR
1 - 8
ALG
22%
23%
56%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 0
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 2
RAC
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 2
ALG
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CDG
3 - 2
CAS
56%
23%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 0
MUR
24%
24%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |