Alginet vs UD Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+498%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALG
1 - 0
PED
23%
21%
55%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TAV
2 - 0
ALG
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LAL
2 - 1
ALG
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
ALG
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 2
UDC
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
UDC
14%
21%
65%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDC
2 - 0
UDC
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDC
4 - 0
ALC
83%
13%
5%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
UDC
2 - 2
SDS
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ENG
0 - 2
UDC
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |