Alginet vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CTS
3 - 0
ALG
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 1
SDS
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
REC
2 - 1
ALG
25%
25%
51%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 2
ALG
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 0
FCC
79%
13%
7%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 1
FCC
48%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
PEG
35%
27%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEG
2 - 3
TAV
36%
26%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LLO
2 - 2
PEG
43%
26%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 0
JAV
32%
26%
43%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |