Alginet vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 2
ALG
25%
25%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PEG
0 - 0
ALG
10%
19%
71%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ALG
4 - 0
CDA
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MAS
1 - 3
ALG
28%
24%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CTS
1 - 1
BEN
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SDS
3 - 2
CTS
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CTS
1 - 1
ALC
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CTS
1 - 0
UEG
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 0
CTS
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |