Alginet vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
UDQ
2 - 3
ALG
63%
22%
15%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
ALG
1 - 0
OLI
48%
26%
26%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
DEN
1 - 1
ALG
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
ALG
1 - 1
PAT
43%
28%
30%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
GAN
5 - 0
ALG
73%
18%
10%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
ASP
0 - 0
CAT
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
UDC
1 - 1
ASP
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
ASP
1 - 1
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
UDP
1 - 1
ASP
70%
19%
12%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
ASP
6 - 1
JOV
47%
25%
27%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |