Algeti vs Samegrelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BET
2 - 0
ALG
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 1
SKU
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 0
ALG
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 2
CHK
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
GAG
4 - 0
ALG
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
WIT
19%
23%
59%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LAZ
3 - 2
SAM
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
MAT
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +3 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MET
3 - 0
SAM
70%
20%
10%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 0
SAM
10%
16%
74%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | +3 |