Algeti vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
IME
2 - 1
ALG
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 3
LIA
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
ALG
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 2
KOL
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 1
WIT
17%
25%
58%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
MER
2 - 4
WIT
15%
25%
60%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LAZ
4 - 1
MER
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
MAT
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
CHK
4 - 0
MER
37%
24%
40%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MET
4 - 0
MER
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |