Algeti XXI vs Tskhumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
0.8%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.1%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.5%
90.7%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.7%
1-5
4.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
16.3%
0-5
7.9%
1-6
2.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
11.2%
0-6
4.8%
1-7
1.5%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
6.6%
0-7
2.6%
1-8
0.7%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.3%
0-8
1.2%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.5%
0-9
0.5%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.6%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
RVA
5 - 0
ALG
95%
4%
1%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
ALG
0 - 6
SHE
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
SAU
4 - 5
ALG
95%
4%
1%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 4
ERA
52%
20%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
SAT
3 - 0
ALG
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Tskhumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
TSK
1 - 4
RVA
73%
15%
12%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
SHE
3 - 0
TSK
33%
22%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
TSK
1 - 0
SAU
93%
5%
2%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
ERA
0 - 18
TSK
4%
10%
86%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
TSK
1 - 0
SAT
92%
6%
2%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | -1 |