Algeti XXI vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UBT
9 - 2
ALG
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 2
TSK
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 3
ALG
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
ALG
0 - 1
PAR
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ABU
3 - 2
ALG
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
ADU
3 - 1
IVE
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
APK
2 - 5
ADU
12%
19%
69%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
ADU
0 - 1
SAU
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
UBT
2 - 1
ADU
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ADU
1 - 2
GAG
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |