Algeciras CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALG
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALG
66%
23%
12%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ALG
2 - 0
GDE
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 2
ALG
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ALG
2 - 0
GIR
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ELC
2 - 0
RJA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 0
DEP
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
PUE
2 - 1
RJA
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |