Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Algeciras CF vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
PXD
0 - 0
ALG
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 1
ACF
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ACF
0 - 0
ALG
28%
29%
44%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
COR
2 - 3
ALG
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALG
3 - 2
ASJ
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
PXD
0 - 0
ALG
27%
28%
45%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PXD
1 - 0
RAC
49%
26%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 1
PXD
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LLO
4 - 0
PXD
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PXD
3 - 1
PBL
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |