Algeciras CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALG
15%
24%
62%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ALG
5 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
CRD
0 - 4
ALG
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
ICR
0 - 7
ALG
19%
27%
54%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
ALG
0 - 0
POL
32%
29%
39%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
LUC
3 - 1
UDT
41%
28%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
SFE
2 - 0
LUC
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 1
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
POZ
2 - 1
LUC
32%
29%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
COR
38%
32%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |