Ålgård vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
EGE
3 - 0
ALG
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 1
LYN
20%
21%
58%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
VID
3 - 0
ALG
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 3
BRA
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
STA
2 - 1
ALG
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 0
FOR
76%
15%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
ASA
0 - 2
VAR
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
FAN
69%
17%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
VAR
22%
22%
56%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
EGE
5 - 2
VAR
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |