Ålgård vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
JER
1 - 2
ALG
57%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 1
EGE
47%
23%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
ALG
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ALG
3 - 1
RAN
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 0
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
59%
21%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ASA
3 - 3
VAR
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
VIN
66%
18%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VID
0 - 0
VAR
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
ODD
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |