Ålgård vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 2
ALG
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 1
VID
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
KIL
1 - 2
ALG
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DRA
0 - 4
ALG
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ALG
2 - 0
FYL
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
ORN
78%
13%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
ODD
2 - 0
VAR
25%
23%
53%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 2
63%
19%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
3 - 3
NES
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RAN
1 - 2
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |