Ålgård vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
BRA
5 - 2
ALG
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ALG
3 - 2
VFC
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LOV
6 - 2
ALG
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ALG
5 - 0
FYL
20%
19%
61%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +4 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
VIK
4 - 0
ALG
73%
16%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
5 - 0
VID
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ASA
5 - 2
BAR
27%
24%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BAR
4 - 2
KLE
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
NFC
0 - 3
BAR
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BAR
9 - 0
FAN
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |