Ålgård vs Årdal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
FFC
2 - 1
ALG
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
FYL
1 - 1
ALG
60%
20%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ALG
1 - 1
EGE
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 0
BAR
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
BRA
5 - 2
ALG
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Årdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 0
FYL
23%
21%
57%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
EGE
3 - 2
ARD
78%
15%
8%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ARD
2 - 0
HFC
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +3 |