Algamita U.D. vs Luisiana C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algamita U.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 2
ALG
70%
18%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 4
VLZ
21%
22%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GIL
4 - 1
ALG
44%
24%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ALG
3 - 0
BAD
36%
24%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 1
ALG
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Luisiana C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LUI
3 - 0
LAR
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
LUI
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LUI
4 - 0
LAN
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LAJ
2 - 5
LUI
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LUI
2 - 0
CDF
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |