Copa de Andalucía Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Algaida vs UD Tomares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 1
ALG
22%
23%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 0
FER
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
JOS
2 - 3
ALG
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 3
UDA
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
ALG
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
UDT
2 - 1
MOG
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 5
UDT
16%
21%
64%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CCF
1 - 0
UDT
28%
25%
48%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UDT
6 - 0
ARC
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 3
UDT
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |