Algaida vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SSA
1 - 1
ALG
22%
22%
57%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CEX
2 - 3
ALG
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 3
CAM
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALG
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 1
CDS
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 1
SER
34%
24%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SCD
2 - 2
ATL
73%
16%
12%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALQ
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SVE
1 - 0
ATL
16%
21%
64%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |