Algaida Ud vs Tesorillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algaida Ud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 5
ALG
32%
24%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 2
UDB
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALG
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ALG
5 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
ALG
63%
19%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
UDT
2 - 0
UDB
52%
23%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CON
4 - 0
UDT
34%
25%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
UDT
2 - 2
ATL
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SID
2 - 0
UDT
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UDT
2 - 3
CDR
37%
24%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |