Algaida Ud vs Estella Cd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algaida Ud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
UDB
2 - 3
ALG
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CON
3 - 1
ALG
11%
18%
71%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
ATL
46%
24%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 3
ALG
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estella Cd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
EST
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
ATL
26%
24%
51%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CDV
0 - 2
EST
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JER
2 - 0
EST
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |