Alfreton Town vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
4 - 0
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 3
STO
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 2
ALF
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 2
LIN
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
ALF
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 1
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
HER
5 - 2
TAM
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
0 - 1
MAN
23%
25%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LUT
0 - 0
TAM
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 1
SOU
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |