Alfredo Maldonado U20 vs Policia de Lara U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfredo Maldonado U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 3
SES
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DLA
4 - 1
ALM
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
ALM
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 12
APC
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
4 - 1
PLA
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 6
DLA
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -2 |