Alfoz vs Xermade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+216%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FON
1 - 2
ALF
42%
26%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 1
IBE
24%
24%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
ALF
68%
18%
15%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 1
CAN
38%
25%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
COS
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Xermade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 1
XER
70%
18%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
XER
2 - 0
FON
31%
24%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
IBE
3 - 0
XER
72%
17%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
XER
1 - 2
CAS
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
XER
0 - 3
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |