Alfoz vs Sporting Pontenova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 1
ALF
64%
19%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 2
MEI
40%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
ALF
65%
19%
16%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 2
FOZ
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALF
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Pontenova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
ABA
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 2
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PON
1 - 0
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
XER
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 1
PON
36%
23%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |