Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 1
AYA
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 0
ALF
17%
22%
62%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 1
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
PIR
4 - 1
ALF
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
ALF
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 0
AUN
23%
26%
50%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 1
AUR
38%
25%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
SRP
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
AUR
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
COM
18%
25%
58%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |